President
Bush's proposals to safeguard the skies - and help US airlines
fill more than a paltry 40 percent of their seats - are
an extraordinary high-level gambit to restore public confidence
in air travel.
Mr. Bush's $3 billion plan to improve security, which
he outlined yesterday in Chicago, includes stronger cockpit
doors and putting many more federal air marshals aboard
flights. He is also expanding the federal role in airport
security - a duty long left to individual airlines. Still,
the measures stop short of more-controversial ideas, such
as arming pilots with lethal or nonlethal weapons.
That the president himself flew to O'Hare International
Airport to unveil his plan underscores just how important
the aviation industry is to the nation. Since the Sept.
11 hijackings that shredded America's blanket of security,
air travel has plummeted, carriers have laid off more
than 100,000 workers, and the industry's woes have cascaded
into other sectors of the economy.
Early assessments of Bush's plan are that every little
bit helps. Whether his proposed safety measures will reassure
the flying public - and save the air industry from financial
ruin - should become apparent in coming weeks.
"Perception
is 90 percent of it," says Richard Gritta, an aviation
expert at the University of Portland in Oregon. "If
people perceive they're safe, that's the important thing
[to get them to resume flying]."
To that end, most federal officeholders are remiss, says
Clint Oster, an aviation expert at Indiana University
in Bloomington. The fact that Reagan National Airport
in Washington remains closed - and that few federal officeholders
are flying these days - is hardly confidence-inspiring,
he says. "We really haven't seen much in the way
of demonstration of faith in the air system by [federal
officials] flying on it."
Bush's proposals follow a host of security changes already
ordered by the Federal Aviation Administration. Curbside
checking of luggage is no longer allowed, nonticketed
passengers can't proceed past security points, and everything
from safety razors to nail clippers are banned.
Those measures, though, have so far not brought many
people back to the skies.
Some of Bush's proposals can be implemented quickly by
the FAA. Others will have to go a slower route through
Congress.
The president has clearly fastened on those measures
that enjoy a wide base of support among lawmakers and
security experts: Make cockpit doors more secure, improve
luggage-scanning equipment, put more federal air marshals
on commercial planes.
More dramatically, the president has decided to partially
federalize airport security. The government will buy and
maintain equipment, do background checks on all security
workers, and supervise screening of passengers and baggage.
Uniformed federal personnel will work alongside nonfederal
employees.
Until now, US airlines have always been responsible for
- and assumed the cost of - safeguarding airports.
In most other countries, that job falls to the national
government. US air carriers will be watching closely to
see how much of the security tab the government will pick
up. Shortage of funding has long been an impediment to
more-stringent measures.
Allowing pilots to carry firearms, an idea put forward
this week by the Air Line Pilots Association, is not part
of Bush's plan. (It also received a lukewarm reception
in Congress.)
Michael Wascom of the Air Transport Association, which
represents most major airlines, is similarly hesitant
to introduce guns to the cockpit. "Let pilots be
pilots. Let law enforcement be law enforcement,"
he says. "If what we're looking for is the introduction
of a law-enforcement tool into an aircraft, then the sky-marshal
program offers the best opportunity."
If the pilots won't have guns, there could still be plenty
of firearms at airports.
The president has urged the governors of all 50 states
to call up National Guard forces to augment safety at
all the nation's airports until the new measures are fully
in place, in about six months.
As Americans assess the safety of air travel in coming
weeks, they are likely to carefully weigh the options
put forward by the president, Congress, and the FAA.
Mindful of that, airline executives and some politicians
are going out of their way to convince people that planes
are already safe. Former President Bill Clinton is zigzagging
the country on commercial jets this week, and Norman Mineta,
secretary of Transportation, flew a commercial carrier
yesterday to Chicago to make the announcement with Bush.
"The real test will be at Thanksgiving," says
David Stempler of the Air Travelers Association in Washington.
"Usually, the airlines set the boarding records for
the year on the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, and break
those records on the Sunday afterward. We'll see what
that looks like."