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No big surprises there on cause or development of the fire (or the reason for the ultimate loss of control). Obvious reluctance to come to any conclusions about anything incriminatory but the MPET blankets. You can clearly see the outcome of arcing events upon a large wiring bundle (in the photo that supposedly shows where the initiating event occurred). At this stage I am still unclear on what side of the bulkhead that arc event occurred. I assume the cockpit side, crown area (and somewhere just after all those wires (in that huge bundle) exit the bulkhead throughway). The question of collecting together large numbers of wires and transiting them through one vulnerable throughway should get a mention in the Report. It does in FAR25.
A. Kapton and ETFE and other wiring insulations: => should be tested and evaluated (same old story). Totally unprepared to say anything more than that a wire arced and that it was associated with the IFEN (one or two wires)
B. EVAS => should get a big boost (but nothing said about whether or not it might have changed the outcome).
C. IFEN => criticisms of its build standard, certification and electrical interface but not a lot there for the lawyers to hang their hats upon. Equivocation only, no incrimination. The FAA has neatly side-stepped any accusation of negligence by the TSB assertion that by the time a Cabin-Bus connected IFEN had been switched OFF, the fire would have been very much underway (so the fact that it wasn't correctly on the cabin bus is "just a detail"). There's a certain fault of logic in that approach.
D. MD-11 => no criticism of the S/E/A or any aspects of this aircraft but mention of the 50+ AD/s that were required to justify it keeping its airworthiness certificate. Vague mention of amending checklists and endorsement of the panacea omnibus solution of landing ASAP.
E. Electrical fire detection and fire-fighting => In response to journalist's question about the lack of "behind the linings" fire detection and suppression, Gerden launched off on a red herring about cargo holds (to be expected - but in actuality an entirely different problem). However the TSB has made "recommendations".
F. Pilots blameworthiness (or otherwise) => all conclusions were in favour of the pilots. They were "suckered in" and they COULD NOT have safely landed anyway. But they were doing their best. Fails to address training and adequacy of checklists - but that may be in the report.
G. Third Crew Man /FE => no mention at all of the pilots' overload situation or the great safety utility of having a third man.... particularly with locked cockpit doors, trapped in seat on umbilical oxy - and loss of cabin intercom.
H. Part that aircon and venting played => Journos were getting the two mixed up. Aircon sucked the pilots in initially but the vents were sucking and evacuating smoke and it was only when the cabin exhaust fans were switched off that the smoke was drawn forward and the fire able to develop more strongly in a forward direction - and into the flight-deck ceiling. Their assertion that the flight-deck ceiling "sagged" and alarmed the pilots into declaring an emergency must have been based upon what they physically found.
I. MPET => the real villain (according to the TSB). Supposedly without the MPET blankets there wouldn't have been an accident (but that's not necessarily the case for the IFEN). That neatly sidesteps what happens to a wire-bundle (particularly a vertical one) that is "taken out" by arcing - and what can then happen to electrical systems by way of cascading failure.
J. CB's => Endorsement here of firmer crew and maint guidance - but also advocating development of CB technology (whilst being careful not to mention AFCI's).
K. CVR/DFDR/IMAGING => Encouraging signs here (as indeed elsewhere) that the investigators are to have their way with all three subjects.
L. Draft Report => Defensive about this but I think that it will forever be a "dog with fleas" in their system. Sunshine hearings make a lot more sense.
Overall somewhat anti-climactic and further indepth study of the report will be needed in order to align any thinking with the TSB's presentation.
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